Polls and Predictions – Democratic Primaries through March 1st

The following are the results of the latest polls (sourc: realclearpolitics.com) and the projections of Nate Silver (source fivethirtyeight.com) for the Democratic primaries scheduled for 2/27/16 (South Carolina) and the twelve primaries scheduled for 3/1/16.

South Carolina (59 delegates)

8 most recent polls: (2/10- 2/18) Clinton 57.4 Sanders 33.3 – Clinton +24.1

Nate Silver’s prediction, chances of winning – Clinton 99%

Alabama (58 delegates)

Most recent poll: (2/16) Clinton 59 Sanders 31 – Clinton +28

Nate Silver’s prediction – none yet

American Samoa (10 delegates)

No recent polls

Nate Silver’s prediction – none yet

Arkansas (37 delegates)

2 most recent polls: (2/4 & 2/16) Clinton 57 Sanders 28.5 – Clinton +28.5

Nate Silver’s prediction, chances of winning – Clinton 98%

Colorado (77 delegates)

Most recent poll: (11/15) Clinton 55 Sanders 27 – Clinton +28 (old–unrealizable)

Nate Silver’s prediction – none yet

Georgia (112 delegates)

3 most recent polls: (2/15 – 2/23) Clinton 63 Sanders 25 – Clinton +38

Nate Silver’s prediction, chances of winning – Clinton 99%

Massachusetts (121 delegates)

3 most recent polls: (2/16 – 2/212) Clinton 44 Sanders 47.5 – Sanders +3.5

Nate Silver’s prediction, chances of winning – Clinton 61%

Minnesota (94 delegates)

Most recent poll: (1/20) Clinton 59 Sanders 25 – Clinton +34 (old–suspect)

Nate Silver’s prediction – none yet

Oklahoma (42 delegates)

2 most recent polls: (2/9 & 2/16) Clinton 45 Sanders 36 – Clinton +9

Nate Silver’s prediction, chances of winning – Clinton 79%

Tennessee (77 delegates)

Most recent poll: (2/16) Clinton 58 Sanders 32 – Clinton +26

Nate Silver’s prediction, chances of winning – Clinton 98%

Texas (237 delegates)

6 most recent polls: (2/16 – 2/23) Clinton 59.2 Sanders 34.2 – Clinton +25

Nate Silver’s prediction, chances of winning – Clinton 99%

Vermont (23 delegates)

2 most recent polls: (2/16 & 2/27) Clinton 9.5 Sanders 84.5 – Sanders +75

Nate Silver’s prediction, chances of winning – Sanders 98%

Virginia (112 delegates)

2 most recent polls: (2/14 & 2/16) Clinton 54 Sanders 37 – Clinton +17

Nate Silver’s prediction, chances of winning – Clinton 97%