The following are the results of the latest polls and projected chances of winning the Democratic Presidential primaries and caucuses scheduled from March 6th through the end of March 2016. (Sources: Polls – RealClearPolitics.com, Projections – projects.fivethirtyeight.com.)
Maine 3/6 (25 committed delegates – closed caucus)
No polls
No projection from Nate Silver:
Michigan 3/8 (130 committed delegates – open primary)
2 recent polls (3/1 & 3/5) – Clinton +26
Projection from Nate Silver, chance of winning: Clinton 99%
Mississippi 3/8 (36 committed delegates – open primary)
2 recent polls (2/16 & 2/29) – Clinton +44
Projections from Nate Silver, chance of winning: Clinton 99%
Northern Mariana Islands 3/12 (6 committed delegates –caucus)
No polls
No projection from Nate Silver:
Florida 3/15 (214 committed delegates – closed primary)
4 recent polls (2/24 & 2/27) – Clinton +24.5
Projection from Nate Silver, chance of winning: Clinton 99%
Illinois 3/15 (156 committed delegates – open primary)
1 recent poll (2/19) – Clinton +19
Projection from Nate Silver, chance of winning: Clinton 99%
Missouri 3/15 (71 committed delegates – open primary)
No recent poll
No projection from Nate Silver:
North Carolina 3/15 (107 committed delegates – Semi-closed primary)
3 recent polls (2/24 – 2/27) – Clinton +14
Projection from Nate Silver, chance of winning: Clinton 95%
Ohio 3/15 (143 committed delegates – semi-open primary)
1 recent poll (2/20) – Clinton +15
Projection from Nate Silver, chance of winning: Clinton 95%
Arizona 3/22 (75 committed delegates – closed primary)
No recent poll
No projection from Nate Silver:
Idaho 3/22 (23 committed delegates – open caucus)
No recent poll
Projection from Nate Silvers:
Utah 3/22 (33 committed delegates – semi-open caucus)
1 recent poll (2/15) – Clinton +7
Projection from Nate Silver, chance of winning: Clinton 50.9%
Alaska 3/26 (16 committed delegates – closed caucus)
1 recent poll (1/12) – Clinton +3
No projection from Nate Silvers
Hawaii 3/26 (25 committed delegates – closed caucus)
No recent poll
No projection from Nate Silvers
Washington 3/26 (101 committed delegates – open caucus)
No recent poll
No projection from Nate Silvers
Cajun 3/5/2016