
The attached spreadsheet shows the state of the presidential election race based on both the national polls and those of the individual states and their predicted results in Electoral College. Updated Sunday, 10/4/2020.
This week I have added Nate Silver’s odds of the candidates winning each state. Silver and his team are nationally recognized as the best at statically analyzing, ranking, and compiling data from the numerous political polls. Prior to the 2016 election his team predicted that Hillary Clinton would win the national vote by 2.7%. She ended up beating Trump in the popular vote by 2.1%.
I will update the spreadsheet every Sunday until election day. Check back on this site – www.cajunscomments.com to see how the race has changed. You can now also see how the race has changed over the previous week.
Data obtained from Nate Silver’s fivethirtyeight website.
Click on the download button below to download the spreadsheet.
NOTE: The attached spreadsheet is best viewed on a PC monitor or using an iPad or tablet. If using an iPad, tablet, or cell phone, after clicking on the download button below you will be given a choice – “”Download” or “View’. Chose the “View” option
Update 5:15 pm CDT Wednesday, 10/8/20: I haven’t had a chance to do a midweek update the spreadsheet yet, but there is good news. Biden’s weighted average lead in the national polls has increased since yesterday from 8.5% to 9.5%. (For reference Silver had Clinton with a 2.7% national lead the night before the election.) The better news is that the website now gives Trump only a 16% chance of winning. (For comparison it gave Trump a 35% chance of winning last time around.)
Cajun (Rick Guilbeau) 10/4/2020